You know how you sometimes see an event unfolding in what seems to be slow motion and yet you remain frozen in place and unable to react? That’s exactly how the EU is now reacting to the Greek fiscal fiasco.
Unlike its recently deposed leader, the International Monetary Fund is impotent. They’re pretty sure something needs to be done but no one agrees on what. So the Eurocrats have worked up a dandy selection of equally unworkable plans.
Please allow us – or in this particular case, please allow Paul de Grauwe of the University of Leuven – to dissuade you from any lingering fantasies regarding the future of the Euro.
We’re talking DOOMED. In all caps.
De Grauwe does a brilliant job of analyzing and summarizing the key differences between the Euro and the Pound:
We’ve been assured by all the talking heads that the Euro is the world’s sickest currency. “The dollar’s weak,” they tell us, “but that Euro, why, it’s ready to totally disintegrate.”
Axel Merk is president and chief investment officer of Merk Investments and he says that point of view is nonsense, exactly 180 degrees out of phase.
We have to admit that Merk makes a certain amount of sense:
“It’s not unthinkable that the euro could collapse. know some people think it’s unthinkable … I don’t think it’s unthinkable” He added, “”You can’t have three or four or five countries that are in effect free-riding on the other countries. That won’t work over time — they have to get their fiscal houses in reasonable harmony.”
The “other countries” is essentially Germany. How long will the Germans put up with paying for the more fiscally irresponsible Eurozone nations.
All the billionaires are in Davos, Switzerland this week to see how they can make more billions. Erik Schatzker of Bloomberg Television’s “On The Move” caught up with investor George Soros and got a great interview out of him. They talked about the European sovereign debt crisis, the outlook for commodities and the U.S. deficit.
You won’t walk away form this video feeling too good about where the world is headed, unless you are one of those billionaires in Davos who will find ways to profit from our sorrow.
You either love or hate George Soros, and I fall into the latter camp. But I still forced myself to watch it and found the interview enlightening. You should take ten minutes to listen in.
Okay, I admit it, I’ve got a man crush something bad for Nigel Farage, UK Representative to the European Parliament, and leader of the UK Independence Party. In this clip he gives a trashing to the European Parliament in Strasbourg on January 19, 2011. The subject: the disaster that is called the Eurozone. After his two minutes are up, Olle Schmidt representing the Group of the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe, tells Nigel he’s clueless, and stands up for the Euro. Of course, Farage gets in the last word.
Listen to my man Nigel give the European Parliament members hell.
We need leaders like this in the United States, leaders who are not afraid to speak the truth, who speak their mind freely, and say damn the consequences of “impolite” speech, not like the sissy leaders we have lawmakers this country.
Just to show you what wusses we’ve become in the U.S., listen to the horror expressed by CNN host John King, when guest Andy Shaw used the term — you might want to close your ears — “in the crosshairs.” (h/t IHateTheMedia.com).
So far, Italy, the third largest economy to use the Euro, has been able to keep its distance from the sovereign debt problems facing other PIIGS. But, recently its economic woes are coming to the forefront. How long can Italy go without seeking its own bailout?
There’s no one like European Parliament Member and leader of the UK Independence Party, Nigel Farage, to give it to us straight. I love this guy — whether it’s the global warming fraud or financial corruption, he tells it like it is. About Italy, the rest of the PIIGS and the whole Eurozone mess.
Farage is also concerned that the disappearance of political sovereignty after bailouts will give rise to violent nationalist, political groups:
When you join the Euro, you give away control over interest rates and now that they’ve been bailed out, they’ve given away the ability to decide their own budgets. Greece and Ireland have now become protectorates of the European Union. They’ve lost their democracy, they’ve lost their self-government, and I’m deeply fearful, I do feel, that extreme political groups, even violent political groups, will now be on the rise, because if people feel they cannot alter their own destiny by voting, what are they left with?
And I love this reply, when asked about why Estonia could still join the Eurozone:
This is an empire…the European Union is the first ever non-military empire and what empires try to do is expand.
European Union leaders meeting in Brussels have agreed to set up a permanent mechanism to save Eurozone economies sinking in debt. They promised to do “whatever is required” to safeguard the common currency. It can’t come soon enough, with rating agencies suggesting several nations are close to being insolvent.
All across Europe there is a feeling of discontent, that the lower and middle classes are shouldering the burden of the financial crisis, a crisis that was caused by bankers and governments. And it doesn’t help that European Parliament members are about to give themselves a raise to $170,000 Euros a year, while calling for austerity.
Jim Rogers was interviewed at the 2011 Investment Outlook Summit and among many other things he called the U.S. government inflation data “a sham.” Anyone that pays rent, buys groceries, goes out to dinner, and just about any other activity, knows that there is most definitely inflation. As Rogers says, “Everybody in this room knows prices are going up for everything.”
In this 30 minute interview, he comments on inflation, the Federal Reserve, rising interest rates, the Eurozone, commodities and other concerning world issues.
You heard leader of the UK Independence Party Nigel Farage’s wonderful rant against the Euro on the floor at the English Parliament. Now, listen to him interviewed by RT, about the Eurozone’s bailout troubles. Another Eurozone country, Italy, might need a financial bailout soon. The third largest economy that uses the Euro currency has started plunging in the same direction as Greece and Ireland, who he says couild be kicked out of the Eurozone. It comes as fresh protests sweep across Europe — with people angry at facing tough cuts to pay for it all.
Pimco’s CEO Mohamed El-Erian is one of the brightest guys around. In this video he comments on the Irish bailout, telling viewers on CNBC that the Eurozone has not met the first rule of crisis management: get ahead of the crisis; be seen as proactive, rather than reactive. He says “as long as they are being reactive, they are going to have a slow motion wreck going on in Europe and we are going to wake up and it’s going to be a new country that you are talking about.”
He calls the order of the problematic countries, following Greece and Ireland, as Portugal, Spain, Belgium, Italy.
Listen to the whole interview to hear his recommendations for navigating the coming devastation.
One by one, Eurozone nations are being devoured by the Euro-state, losing their sovereignty by way of the new debt they are incurring as they are bailed out. The voices of the people, protesting the loss of their countries’ independence, are not headed. The voices of the political class are considerably more quiet. But there are a few that stand up and tell it like it is.
One such politician is Nigel Farage, a member of the European Parliament representing the United Kingdom. In this video, filmed in the European Parliament in Strasbourg on November 24, Farage tells fellow members what they can do with their Euro.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-KAWXC5Z0wU
“We don’t want that flag, we don’t want the anthem, we don’t want this political class. We want the whole thing consigned to the dust bin of history … You are very, very dangerous people indeed. Your obsession with creating this Euro-state means that you’re happy to destroy democracy. You appear to be happy for millions and millions of people to be unemployed and to be poor. Untold millions must suffer so that your Euro-dream can continue ….”
If Nigel Farage tires of fighting the losing cause that is Europe, we could use you over here in the States. If Immigration won’t let you in, just come across the Mexican border and you’ll get the welcoming mat.
Charles Nenner, founder and president of Charles Nenner Research, told CNBC Monday that the Eurozone is “not fixable and was a mistake from the beginning” and the Eurozone politicians have made a major mistake creating the Euro and as long as they are in power they will keep it going.
Ireland’s debt problems are not going to be contained by its borders, or even to the PIGS nations. The banks in France, Germany and particularly the United Kingdom have made large loans to Ireland, and when they default — not if, but when, says former IMF Executive Desmond Lachman — these banks will suffer huge losses.
Bank problems at the core of Europe would be bad for the Euro and good for the U.S. Dollar. And this is bad for American exports. And these exports that benefit from a weak dollar is what the U.S. stock market has largely been pinning its hopes on. And beyond this, of course, the U.S. financial system is part of the global financial system, and as we saw two years ago, everything is interconnected. If they go down hard, the U.S. will feel it.
R. Arthur Beckles: Barack Obama is President of all Americans, not just of African-Americans! It’s difficult for all working class Americans – black, white, brown, etc. African-Americans who don’t want to vote for Obama, can feel free to do so. But do they think that their lot...
keith: wow. Whos got the bigger stick, My @!(k is bigger than yours, your country my country, my countries poor is richer than yours. the truth of it is that in the end the civilians are going to feel the brunt of this economic downfall. i live in the U.S. and there are over 200 multi...
Anonymous: I agree with many of the above. I know people from both the US and Europe that are on disability because of health problems and the one person in Europe is receiving much more help than are the US citizens.
Sunday: BTW, before you ask why two adults only received $240 a week for unemployment, just remember that you can only receive unemployment if you were laid off. If you were fired or quit, you cannot receive unemployment. In my case, I got ill, and FMLA only applies to people who have worked at a...
EriktheRed: I like how it’s “fortunate that the crisis is confined to the E.U.”- what’s unemployment in the U.S. right now? How about the millions of foreclosures you’ve had already? Tent cities, anyone? Deficit spending at $3.5 bn a DAY? HMM!
David, Self Defense Retailer: Really? Why in the world are they doing that for Gitmo detainees? A whole soccer field? Outrageous! Maybe the EU really won’t last.
David, Stun Gun Supplier: It’s the next bubble. I wonder what Romney has to say about this. Obama’s made himself clear in his typical way. It’ll probably be worse than housing when it does.
See I told you: Who didn’t see this coming . Put a communist organizer in the White house and just wait. To bad the American populace lacks true intellect or is it just that the dummies out number the smart 20 to 1. Probably the latter. Obvious who controlls the vote with those kind of...
James: After a seriously obese person has had fat removal procedures, his/her flesh sags where excess fat used to be. World population should never have risen this high. It will be reduced. Through lower birth rates; or by more traditional means: war, disease, famine, cannabalism. I’m not a...
JoAnn: I have a real problem with Obama borrowing money to send to Greece when so many people in this country who have lost long term jobs,lost homes,living on the street, little or no food. I vote to take Obama and his family if they want to go and DROP them on a desert island some where just so...
Arkansas Slim: Update. Oil hit 105 per barrel yesterday, 2 20 12. Gas US Avg => 3.50 per gallon. Cloward Piven Theory of Economics: Tipping point of US Electorate => 51%. Nevada odds for Obama RE Election 6/10 on thier sport boards. EU/Greece set to collapse, dominos arranged. Socialistic...
kkl: America is now turning mediocre no more fun no more trips or vacations 100 bucks to fill gas tank and pasta and ramen noodles for life for usa there is no more hope no more fun just work go home work go home fill up gas tank eat shit and work no more fun thanks for nothing nobama i hope you...
Chris Marshall: Hi Janice, I just wanted to know, how would you be able to get a good investment out of the Whole Life Insurance if it costs really high? The projections usually given out by “Financial Advisors” that 12% is the usual earnings specially if it is invested in TSX or NYX...
Agent: Walt Disney funded Disney World by using the cash value in his whole life policy. You can’t say that was a mistake. Buy term for a specific need/period and buy whole for a permanent need or if you need your life insurance past age 65.
Forex Agent: As a financial advisor what I tell clients is that the main purpose of a life insurance policy is to provide a death benefit. Whether term, some sort of permanent life insurance, or a combination of the two is most appropriate depends on a number of factors including the...
Cindy: Before long they will, if not already, invade and keep track of everything you do including the privacy of your own home exploiting you and demanding that you worship them. You will be powerless to control it so you will have two choices…… ;kiss butt or commit suicide.
Space Cadet: don’t be rediculous. Glass Steagall is a red hearing. This problem is much farther reaching, from before the Nixon Administration. He took the US off the gold standard which was the pillar of the US dollar, and the reason it is the world currancy. He did that because the US...
Hervy: Very good advice, same as I give when talking to people. Clark Howard and Dave Ramsey are both good sources of information that is inline with what is written here at EC. Another good website that i tell people to go to in order to get an easy calculation of how much insurance to buy is...
BenP: This is part of the cannon fodder that will be used against Obama in 2012 and his administration. It’s not that he is horrible (he is) or worse than any other President (about the same), its that examples like these can be used to show the devil you know has got to be worse than the...
Lauren: Personally I think you sound like an idiot. The NIH spent 55,000 to promote a vacine that does not exist and, one of which, they would not fund to discover in the first place(yes, it’s ture look it up). If someone lives in an area with a lot of storms they already understand the...
Matt USA: I know I’m a little late to this discussion, but I think that the economic collapse scenario has changed somewhat in recent weeks. It appears that Europe will go first, followed by the United States who has gambled and lost on a TARP style European bailout. The real question for...
Kim: Marcy, Rep. Alan Grayson said in the attached youtube video in 2010 that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac both own stock in MERS. How much stock and when did they own it? Would this explain their current actions? Did they move loans out of MERS and into Fannie Mae for the tax payers to bail out?...
China: @Serban Enache , You Are Wrong We are In Lot Of Trouble and you Know This , Starting In 2012 We will have Many Many Different Problems , We The Government Is Paying For All This Building , We Know Our Own Citizens Can’t Afford This Type Of Live Style , but we are building it Any way...
City On a Shining Hill: “The problem with socialism, i.e., the failed economic system being adopted by so many nations in the world today, is that in funding entitlement programs voters want in their politicians and having governments fund retirement, health care, education, etc, is that...
Rider I: How the US has historically used mineral rushes to get it out of Deficits and stop foreign economic take over. In the US’s historical past the Druids have used and impressed upon the US leadership to use mineral resources to stop economic warfare, along with military take over....
Financial Collapse: Everyone needs to get this correct… (REPOST ON TWITTER, FACEBOOK) America is controlled by the 3 privately owned states (district of columbia, the city of london, and the vatican.) Each has it’s own flag, pays no taxes and has it’s own laws. All 3 are part of...
Tm Newman: I graduated with my B.A. in psych/soc a year ago. Interned teaching math and English to fourth and seventh graders. The school shut down due to lack of funding. All the kids got shipped off to public school. I can’t find a position in my field, and there are no teaching jobs in...
hefsmaster: Been a slow couple weeks since the downgrade. News wise that is. But it gave me more time to coin a phrase. You’re a true libertarian when you piss everybody off. Which explains why everybody thinks were nuts and relegated to being a third wheel in politics. Well call me and...
PeacefulPatriot: The worst is yet to come in the realm of austere measures to keep up appearances on the global markets. The truth though is quite obvious to the sane members of society, we have reached a break point and it is the Systemic collapse of the post-industrial globalization bubble. All...
Serban Enache: Pearl Harbos was orchestrated as an operation years before WW2, by the British empire in conjunction with Imperial Japan. The japanese elite didn’t surrender even when they did not have any hope of wining, let alone after Hiroshima, though I don’t agree with the two...
hefsmaster: No, despite these guys obvious failings. He is exactly right. You think japan would have attacked us without any allies. Pearl harbor is an effect from a cause. Without hitler, point is mute. By the way lee, you haven’t copied anything in a while. You a congressman?
Serban Enache: This Larry Summers has some nerve. Is he trying to say that Hitler attacked Pearl Harbor?
Gordon Shumway: Two questions: 1. Why is it a felony for an individual to print money, but evidence of a keen insight into the arcane world of macroeconomics when a bankster does the same thing, only on a vastly greater scale? 2. Since those who are running the Fed and Treasury are supposed to be...
tim: i for one will not pay a single dr bill my sickness is caused by our government let’s take it back already raped and brusied lady liberty is not what she stood for so many years lets scrap the statue that means so little any more freedom is prison in america try being disabled for 20...
tim: well about time someone in power noticed what wool us seniors have to face daily after food shopping go to my drug store same tricks and and cost is up 25 percent then dr co-pays up another 20 % what will we do when money social security doesnt go far enough to keep us healthy
Space Cadet: Does it matter how we got here? The people in charge ‘think’ they are so smart that they will finesse our way out, while staying in power and making a ton of money for their pals. We will be left to pick up the tab and clean up the mess, as usual. My neighbors just got...